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Stock Market Outlook for January 26, 2021

Shipping container prices have climbed higher in a parabolic manner in recent months, indicative of the strong demand to ship goods throughout the global economy.


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*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.   As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

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Eastman Chemical Co. (NYSE:EMN) Seasonal Chart

Aon Corp. (NYSE:AON) Seasonal Chart

Parke Bancorp Inc. (NASD:PKBK) Seasonal Chart

Paylocity Holding Corp. (NASD:PCTY) Seasonal Chart

SPDR S&P Insurance ETF (NYSE:KIE) Seasonal Chart



The Markets

Stocks closed mildly higher on Monday as investors position for earnings reports in the technology sector that are slated to be released in the days ahead.  The S&P 500 Index added just over a third of one percent, charting another record closing high.  The benchmark remains supported at its rising 20-day moving average, which came close to being tested around the lows of the session.  The 50-day moving average now hovers around 3700, presenting the downside risk over the intermediate-term.

Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:

  • Another look at the short-term limits of the S&P 500 Index
  • The uptick of strength in defensive bets
  • Respiratory Illness Seasonality and the milestone that would suggest the worst is behind us
  • Energy sector
  • Shipping activity and what it says about the economy

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Sentiment on Monday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.72.  As for institutional sentiment, it has been on the decline since the 8th of January, following the conclusion to the start of year buying pattern for many participants.  The Dark Index, a gauge of dark pool buying activity, now sits at 40.3%, down from the high of 48% recorded through the first week of the year.  Typically, levels 45% or higher are indicative of buying demand, conducive for intermediate-term market gains thereafter.



Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:



S&P 500 Index



TSE Composite

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